TOWARDS AN INTELLIGENT MODEL BASED DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM F

ABSTRACT
Decision Support System (DSS) is an interactive, flexible and adaptable
computer-based support system specially developed for supporting the solution
of unstructured management problems [31] DSS has become widespread for
oil industry domain in recent years. The computer-based DSS, which were
developed and implemented in oil industry, are used to address the complex
short-term planning and operational issues associated with downstream
industry. Most of these applications concentrate on the data-centered tools,
while the model-centered applications of DSS are still very limited up till now
This study develops an Intelligent Model-Based DSS for an integrated oil
company, to help policy makers and petroleum planner in improving the
effectiveness of the strategic planning in oil sector. This domain basically
imposes semi-structured or unstructured decisions and involves a very complex
modeling process.
The purposes of this paper are (i) To outline a conceptual framework of
Petroleum Planning Support System (PPSS) as an effective integrated system
directed to support the petroleum policy analysis process of oil industry. (ii)
To present the main functions and structure of Model Base Management
System (MBMS) designed to avoid a user, the acquiring knowledge of a
particular modeling methodology or advanced computing software. (iii) To
introduce the role of intelligent-based computer tools in automating the model
selection process which based on Routine Design. The system described in
this paper, can be applied to an integrated oil company and be implemented by
the selected set of models to the EGPC as an integrated oil company.